@Alientcp said in #22:
> Do you have inside information? Russia has tremendous workforce labor.
Not really. First they lost like 1 million young men that left the country to avoid military service; many were STEM people like engineers and IT-workers.
Secondly, Russia isn't very big. It's 140 million people. Just Spain and Germany can match that in terms of amount of people. In terms of skille people Spain+Germany is way ahead Russia.
The combined alliance supplying Russia has more relevant workforce than the total population of Russia.
> We dont know, you just assume.
One can follow the war, you will then get some hard information and then you can infer stuff.
Russia also wasn't really closed before the war, many Western companies operated there and some actually still do.
> They expected to overwhelm with numbers and tech. It clearly didnt worked. So might as well use the old ones to make them waste the expensive anti tank ammo on the meantime. It is an attrition war now.
Yeah no. No country would be like "we could win this fast with our superior weapons but instead of those then lest use junk so the war drags on forever which hurts us greatly."
> An arms producer is NOT a country. They are private corporations that have nowhere near the capacity of production of a country in war.
The arms producers work together with the countries, it's the state paying the bills for all the tanks after all.
The production of a company is pretty much the total of the private corporatons put together for western countries.
> Im not saying they dont have units in storage. All I said is that they are not making new ones at the rate they would if they were on war time, but Russia is, they should be building at war time rate.
If they were building much, we'd see the stuff they're bulding on the battlefield, but it isn't there.
It's not like "war time rate" means a country can by magic conjure up efficient factories.
Russia isn't the USSR. It just doesn't have that much industry in the first place, it's a country that lives from exporting raw materials. They rely heaily on western components and many things that can't even make, such as commercial airplanes.
Sure they're building at what is war time rate for Russia, but it isn't enough to keep up with the losses.
> Russia is probably receiving Chinese tanks as well, maybe they are creating whole divisions, maybe they arent building tanks, and they are building planes, or missiles. We cant tell, but I am positive that they are building plenty more stuff. As far as Im concerned, they probably replaced at the very minimum, 50% of the lost tanks.
They are 100% sure not receiving Chinese tanks. China isn't helping them, they don't want to get involved beyong vague statements.
The only meaningfull stuff Russia is getting from outside of Russia is the Iranian Shaheed drones. It speaks volume Russia can't even make simply drones in big enough numbers so they have to buy them.
There's zero reason to believe Russian can make 2K tanks/year.
I found a link with Russia bragging they will make 1600 tanks over 3 years
www.jpost.com/international/article-7354531600 tanks won't help as they'll loose like 12000 tanks in 3 years of fighting based on the lossed during the first 16 months of fighting.
Other estimates puts them at like they can make 300 tanks/year which is not enough at all.
Last but not least, even if Russia has like invisible hidden factories making your 2K tanks/year, they'd still be 2K tanks short of covering the losses, so they'd still end up being forced to give up as they run out of tanks. If you can only replace less than 100% of what you loose, it means you end up with 0 eventually.
